Risk Analysis in Clinical Practice

As medical practice has become more and more “evidence-based,” the role of risk analysis and Monte Carlo simulation has expanded rapidly.  Nowhere is this more evident than in recent software introductions that incorporate Monte Carlo software to calculate dosages with extreme precision.  If “dosage” brings to mind a teaspoon and a bottle of cough syrup, you need to expand that image to include laser targeting and photon radiation.  As a recent study of treatment strategies for hepatitis C demonstrates, the what-if scenarios churned out by these specialized risk analysis algorithms allow clinical practitioners to compare likely treatment outcomes of different dosages without real-life trial and error.

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